Global Scans · Conflict · Weekly Summary

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WHAT'S NEXT?: Rising tensions around are bringing new and regional geopolitical threats and the possibility of eventual global war. Keep abreast of the unfolding drama and know where the risks and opportunities are in the world.

• [New] The war in Ukraine is far from settled and could explode into an even greater crisis, depending on how things evolve. Space War
• [New] The United States will sell weapons to Europe that can be transferred to Ukraine. Space War
• [New] Tomahawks, used together with other weapons already in Ukrainian arsenals, would constitute a potent threat to Russia. The Atlantic
• [New] Russia will start to prepare a new more professional war against Ukraine. BBC News
• [New] Due to continued production cuts of OPEC as well as the ongoing war in Ukraine, combined with interest rate cuts, the price of oil could rise in the months ahead. investing.com
• [New] Despite mounting economic and demographic pressures, Russian President Vladimir Putin will continue to feed the war machine so long as he gains ground in Ukraine. Project Syndicate
• [New] Russia plans for military contingencies beyond the current war in Ukraine on the backdrop of its current Phase Zero operations against Europe and that Moscow seeks to project power against NATO. Critical Threats
• [New] Russia seeks to rearm and is setting conditions to pose a significant long term military threat to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) far beyond the end of the current war in Ukraine. Critical Threats
• [New] The Russian defence industry is implementing long-term efforts to increase T-90 tank production and recreate Russia's pre-war tank reserves, indicating that Russia intends to present a long term military threat to NATO. Critical Threats
• [New] Handing Zelensky Tomahawks will start World War III, and Russia would be entirely justified in outright nuking Kiev or handing similar weapons to both Iran and Venezuela. Armstrong Economics
• [New] Israel's prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, has threatened to return to war if Gaza is not completely demilitarised. The Conversation
• [New] With the first phase of the ceasefire agreement in Gaza nearing completion, diplomatic discussions are underway to establish a multinational security force that could pave the way for longer-term stability in the war-riven territory. The Conversation
• [New] Sending Tomahawks to Kiev could mark an important turning point in the biggest European war since World War II. The Week
• [New] Tomahawk cruise missiles could reach Russian targets far beyond any of the weapons the U.S. has provided to Kiev until now. The Week
• [New] Conflict risks extend beyond Europe's eastern borders. Ksapa - en
• [New] The Biden administration's efforts highlight the growing spillover risks from the Ukraine conflict into global security. Caliber.az
• [New] The proliferation of nuclear weapons poses grave risks to humanity and future generations. Syrian Arab News Agency (SANA)
• [New] Even so-called tactical nuclear weapons, of the kind that some speculate Russia might use in the Ukraine conflict, typically have explosive yields in the range of 10 to 100 kilotons. ICAN
• [New] The American Institute for the Study of War has issued a warning that Russian and Belarusian special services may be preparing a sabotage operation against Poland, for which they will try to blame Ukraine. ReOpen
• [New] U.S. Congress is grappling with the most ambitious shake-up of foreign arms-sales rules in years, a debate that could reshape how quickly American weapons reach Europe and other allies. Politico
• [New] Russia's incursions against NATO member states are further raising the risk of conflict between Moscow and the Western alliance. DW.COM
• [New] In a groundbreaking experiment that echoes Cold War-era fears, Chinese scientists have simulated the devastating impact of multiple nuclear detonations on a single target, revealing alarming implications for modern military strategy and global security. Energy Reporters

Last updated: 21 October 2025