Global Scans · Trade · Weekly Summary

---

WHAT'S NEXT?: Global trade policies could be upended with a new President in the White House, Brexit, a potential break-up of the European Union and China reacting to these changes in profound ways.

• [New] External factors like geopolitical tensions, trade policies (tariffs, sanctions), energy costs, and global economic health (recession fears vs. growth) have profoundly influenced stainless steel prices. MFY STEEL
• [New] Vietnam's new US trade deal sparks optimism despite tariff challenges - Under the new deal, US goods into Vietnam will not be taxed while Vietnamese exports will face a 20% US tariff. Edwards Global
• [New] Many of the targeted countries ranging from BRICS members to key U.S. trading partners in Latin America, Asia, and Africa have expressed concern that the blanket tariff policy could strain diplomatic relations, disrupt supply chains, and trigger retaliatory responses of their own. Business Insider Africa
• [New] The upcoming tariffs targeting China, Brazil, India, and South Africa have already strained diplomatic ties, and last-minute efforts to ease tensions were further undermined after Trump threatened sanctions on countries he accused of pursuing anti-American policies. Business Insider Africa
• [New] Ibrahim Traore's statement marks a significant moment in Burkina Faso's history and could potentially reshape the dynamics of mineral exports in Africa. County Local News
• [New] China's move to issue short-term export licences for rare earth magnets reduces the risk of near-term supply disruption and is likely to have a global policy response focused on expanding production capacity rather than constraining exports. Yahoo
• [New] If US Customs takes a hard line on what constitutes substantial transformation, some Vietnamese exports with high Chinese content could still face challenges or additional duties. Vietnam Briefing News
• [New] US President Donald Trump and Vietnam's top leader have agreed in principle to a framework trade deal under which the US will impose a 20% tariff on most Vietnamese exports and a 40% levy on goods transshipped through Vietnam from third countries. Vietnam Briefing News
• [New] New tariffs combined with trade retaliation could cost U.S. dairy farmers $6 billion in lost profits over four years, while Mexico and Canada - representing 40% of U.S. dairy exports worth $8.2 billion - face potential 25% tariff threats that guarantee devastating retaliation. The Bullvine | The Dairy Information You Want To Know W
• [New] President Trump's threat of additional tariffs on countries aligning with BRICS reflects a critical juncture in international relations. County Local News
• [New] US President Donald Trump has threatened to impose an additional 10% tariff on any country doing business with BRICS, with no exceptions, accusing the economic bloc of adopting anti-American policies. Seemorerocks
• [New] The US will charge a tariff rate of 20% on goods imported from Vietnam, well below the 46% announced in early April, while Vietnam has reportedly agreed to drop levies on US imports. Wren Sterling
• [New] Chile: The Central Bank of Chile maintained the monetary policy rate at 5% in response to a challenging global landscape characterized by ongoing trade tensions, slowing growth in the U.S., and escalating geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Day Hagan Asset Management
• [New] A mix of trade war fears, worries about inflation, and the U.S. government's massive debt, which has ballooned past $36.8 trillion, with interest payments projected to hit $952 billion in 2025. Crypto Circuit
• [New] Supply chain disruptions - from sanctions on Russian oil and gas to Red Sea shipping bottlenecks - are driving volatility across key commodities, while protectionist policies, including US tariffs on metals and China's export bans on critical minerals, are reshaping global trade flows. Research and Markets
• [New] Geopolitical Risks: Trade optimism and easing tensions globally favor high-beta currencies like AUD, reducing safe-haven flows into the USD. Moneta | Trade Forex, Indices, Commodities & More
• [New] China has issued a warning to the US, against reigniting trade tensions by reinstating tariffs on Chinese goods next month and threatened retaliation against countries that align with the U.S. to exclude China from supply chains. Business Tech Africa
• [New] Faced with the slowdown in global trade and tensions with China, Taiwan has financial shields that limit its purely macroeconomic vulnerability. economic-research.bnpparibas.com
• A Potential Return Of Donald Trump To The White House And His Aggressive Trade Policies could Further Diversify Supply Chains Away From China. archyde
• Despite attempts to ease trade tensions, uncertainty about the impact of US tariff hikes on inflation outlook suggests that the Fed will likely hold its policy rates steady at its July meeting. Krungsri2020
• Lloyd's has released a report noting that a hypothetical geopolitical conflict could disrupt global trade and supply chains, potentially leading to $14.5 trillion in losses for the global economy over a five-year period. ReinsuranceNe.ws
• We expect Chinese automakers to gain most share in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, where auto import tariffs are lower and there are no domestic champions to protect. Switzerland - EN - Intermediary
• Broader unrest in the Middle East, for example, could hamper growth and raise inflation through oil supply and trade disruptions. GIC

Last updated: 10 July 2025