Global Scans · Indonesia · Weekly Summary

WHAT'S NEXT?: Indonesia's GDP is forecast to grow at 5% a year over 2016-2020, supported by strong growth in consumer demand and infrastructure investment. She is likely to be among the star economic performers for at least the next decade but at the same time faces great challenges to overcome past political and social issues.

• [New] The number of megacities is expected to rise to 37 by 2050. / Indonesia Apa.az
• [New] Potential impact, measured Pre-cut, for 2026, we forecast Indonesia's thermal coal exports at 493 mt, 45% of the corresponding forecast global total - making Indonesia the largest source of exported thermal coal. FlippingBook
• [New] Indonesia plans to cushion the impact of surging global oil prices by increasing fuel subsidies through the state budget while maintaining its fiscal deficit target and keeping domestic fuel prices stable in the near term. Brief
• [New] Singapore, Switzerland, Norway, Indonesia, Malaysia, Cambodia, Thailand, Korea, Vietnam, Taiwan, Bangladesh, Japan and India will be the targets of investigations under the trade statute known as Section 301. Yahoo News
• [New] Indonesia's planned B50 biodiesel mandate could tighten exportable supply significantly, while EU sanctions on Russian fertilizers threaten to drive up potash costs for Indonesian growers - adding structural cost pressure on top of weather-related yield volatility. CNS Media
• [New] Indonesia will file for a suspension of concessions against the European Union at the World Trade Organization's dispute settlement body over a palm oil case. NAMPA
• [New] Among the other countries in the IMF's top 10 list, the USA is expected to contribute 9.9% to the world's real GDP growth, followed by Indonesia with 3.8%, Turkey 2.2%, Saudi Arabia 1.7%, Vietnam 1.6%, while both Nigeria and Brazil are expected to contribute 1.5% each. @mathrubhumi
• [New] In 2026 gross output of basic metals is expected to grow by 9% in Indonesia, 3% in Singapore, 3% in Thailand, and 9% in Vietnam. atradius
• [New] In Indonesia, particularly in urban areas, the heat stress index is projected to increase by 1.9 °C based on the average climate change scenarios of various models. Reynold Sumayku
• [New] The Jakarta Post - President Prabowo Subianto claimed that Indonesia will maintain its long-standing free and active foreign policy, remaining nonaligned and avoiding any geopolitical bloc, even as global tensions intensify, particularly amid the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Brief
• [New] Global supply pressures include disruptions at Grasberg in Indonesia, the world's second-largest copper mine. Ecofin Agency
• Jacobson would note the caveats: the continued reliance on coal in Indonesia for feedstock processing, and the risk that green aluminium still enables continued consumption. youth4planet
• Governments in Kenya, Senegal, Mauritius, Togo, Indonesia and Egypt will send ministers. The Guardian
• 2026's production is forecast to reach roughly 67,500 tons of cobalt, a more than 140% increase from an estimated 46,300 tons produced last year. / Indonesia MiningNewsWire
• In a region where similar shocks have produced very different outcomes, Indonesia's future growth will be shaped less by external forces than by the choices its own government makes now. East Asia Forum
• The targeted first gas by 2028 aligns with long-term revenue prospects, boosting investorconfidence. / Indonesia PandaForecast.com
• Production of the Tetanus-Diphtheria vaccine is expected to commence this year through a partnership with an Indonesian pharmaceutical firm. Myjoyonline
• Beginning in early 2026, Indonesia's government plans to channel that bloodstream through a single artery: the state-owned enterprise Berdikari. All About Feed
• In 2026, countries of the Global South with large critical mineral reserves such as Indonesia and Mexico will leverage their access to natural resources in exchange for lower tariffs and greater investment in domestic processing and manufacturing sectors. ORF Middle East
• Indonesia, where UOB's loan exposure represents roughly 3% of its total portfolio, continues to offer opportunities given its population size and expanding middle class. The Business Times
• Indonesia's wider system is expected to evolve into a hybrid model that links trading with a carbon tax-style backstop. Carbon Credits
• Indonesia's military says up to 8,000 of its troops are expected to be ready by the end of June for a potential deployment to Gaza as part of a humanitarian and peace mission. Al Jazeera

Last updated: 16 March 2026