Global Scans · Mexico · Weekly Summary

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WHAT'S NEXT?: Mexico's economy and status with the U.S. faces uncertain times as a result of Donald Trump's recent election as America's next president. The impacts of Donald Trump's pre-election threats are already being felt by Mexico's economy and may have unforeseen consequences for both nations.

• [New] Depending on the burning and industrial activity across Mexico, light density smoke / aerosols could linger in portions of South / Southeast Texas during the morning hours. Texas Commission on Environmental Quality
• [New] Depending on the scattered burning and industrial activity across Mexico, light density smoke / aerosols could be transported over South Texas as well as portions of the Southeast coast of Texas. Texas Commission on Environmental Quality
• [New] With winds blowing out of the south, light density smoke / aerosols could return later today to portions of South Texas and the coastal bend as urban / industrial activity across Mexico remains ongoing. Texas Commission on Environmental Quality
• [New] Mexico will tighten particle limits from 2026, sharpening air alerts in winter and pushing cities to confront persistent smog. Puerto Vallarta News
• [New] An industrial boom in a US manufacturing hub in Mexico is contributing to a massive air pollution crisis that is threatening residents' health. The Guardian
• [New] Mexico hopes that it will be able to negotiate even better trading conditions with the United States, whose government in 2025 has imposed tariffs on a range of Mexican goods including steel, aluminum and heavy and light vehicles. Mexico News Daily
• [New] Mexico will attract US$ 43 billion in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in 2025, followed by an estimated US$ 40-45 billion in 2026. Mexico Business
• [New] Mexico's product exports will grow 6% in 2025 and 6.5% in 2026. Mexico Business
• [New] In the December Economic Outlook report published on Tuesday, the OECD included a forecast that the Mexican economy will grow 1.7% in 2027. Mexico News Daily
• [New] Trump has threatened to impose extra tariffs on Mexico for various reasons, including a 25% levy as part of Washington's measures to pressure countries to do more to stop the flow of the synthetic opioid fentanyl into America. BBC News
• [New] On Monday, Trump threatened to impose a new 5% tariff on Mexico, accusing it of violating an agreement that gives American farmers access to water. BBC News
• [New] Trump is now threatening to exit the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, which could subject America's largest trading partners to massive new tariffs and undo years of integrated North American supply chains. ORF America
• [New] Understanding Mexico's trade dynamics and economic policies can help anticipate near-term movements. Smart.DHgate - Trusted Buying Guides for Global Shopper
• [New] By 2031, drones will likely represent a foundational element in Mexico's defence architecture, with multi-sensor fusion, AI-enhanced decision-making, and distributed battlefield awareness systems. Mobility Foresights
• [New] Government programs aimed at boosting local UAV production and exports are likely to play a key role in strengthening Mexico's global position in the military drone domain by 2031. Mobility Foresights
• [New] Mexico real estate investment in 2025 presents unprecedented opportunities across diverse markets, from nearshoring industrial hubs to cultural tourism destinations. Oaxaca Properties
• [New] The OECD anticipates 1.9% growth in the U.S. in 2027, and 1.7% in Canada - on par with the forecast for Mexico. Mexico News Daily
• [New] A swift and successful renegotiation of the USCMCA trade pact between Mexico, the United States and Canada in 2026 could help to reduce uncertainty and thus support investment and exports more strongly than currently anticipated. Mexico News Daily
• [New] Mexico's GDP will increase 0.7% in 2025 and 1.2% in 2026. Mexico News Daily
• [New] Successful unconventional resource development could fundamentally transform Mexico's energy security profile by reducing import dependency, diversifying supply sources, and providing domestic production capacity that enhances negotiating positions in international energy markets. Discovery Alert
• [New] The Burgos Basin represents Mexico's most significant unconventional resource opportunity, with estimated reserves of 64 billion barrels of oil equivalent spanning Tamaulipas and adjacent states. Discovery Alert
• [New] Mexico's persistent reliance on natural gas imports from the United States creates strategic vulnerabilities that complicate long-term energy planning. Discovery Alert

Last updated: 16 December 2025